Thredbo 7-Day Snow Forecast

Thredbo Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

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Updated 11 August 2026 13:40 BST

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Thredbo

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 11 August.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Thredbo Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Thredbo?

Thredbo Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (1,648m)
Next Snow Expected	12 August
Next Snow Amount	2cm 1in
Next 48 Hours	3cm 1in
Next 7 Days	3cm 1in

Long-range Snow Outlook for Thredbo

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 10℃ 51°F
Min -3℃ 26°F

4cm 1in New Snow

Snow Line from 1,627m 5,338ft to resort level ( 1,365m 4,478ft ).

Thredbo Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Thredbo from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Tue 11	1cm New Snow Light snow. Snow Line from 1,627m 5,338ft to resort level ( 1,365m 4,478ft ).	Max 3℃ 38°F Min 0℃ 31°F
Wed 12	up to 2cm up to 1in New Snow Light snow showers at altitude, light rain below. Snow Line from 1,550m 5,085ft to resort level ( 1,365m 4,478ft ).	Max 3℃ 37°F Min 0℃ 31°F
Thu 13	Fair at altitude, cloudy below.	Max 6℃ 44°F Min 0℃ 33°F
Fri 14	Clear sky.	Max 9℃ 48°F Min -1℃ 30°F
Sat 15	Cloudy at altitude, clear sky below.	Max 10℃ 50°F Min -1℃ 31°F
Sun 16	Light snow at altitude, light rain below.	Max 10℃ 51°F Min -3℃ 26°F
Mon 17	Cloudy at altitude, clear spells below.	Max 10℃ 49°F Min -2℃ 29°F

This Snow Forecast for Thredbo, Australia gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Thredbo, on any given piste or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Thredbo Snow Forecast updated at 13:40 BST, next update expected imminently.

Ensemble forecast for Thredbo, Australia at 1,365m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Forecast near Thredbo

Snow Forecasts for Ski Resorts near Thredbo
Ski Area	48 Hr	7 Day	Tu	We	Th	Fr	Sa	Su	Mo
Perisher	4cm 2in	5cm 2in
Charlotte Pass	4cm 2in	4cm 2in

Snow Reliability

Thredbo enjoys reliable snow conditions, with an average snowfall of 3.5 meters annually and a snow depth that typically ranges between 1 to 2 meters during the peak season. To stay updated on the latest snow conditions, be sure to check information on J2Ski.

Off-Piste Safety in Thredbo

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Thredbo, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.