Mount Ruapehu 7-Day Snow Forecast

Mount Ruapehu Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

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Updated 11 August 2026 20:40 BST

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Mount Ruapehu

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 11 August.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Mount Ruapehu Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Mount Ruapehu?

Mount Ruapehu Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (1,963m)
Next Snow Expected	13 August
Next Snow Amount	1cm -
Next 48 Hours	1cm 1in
Next 7 Days	19cm 7in

Long-range Snow Outlook for Mount Ruapehu

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 8℃ 46°F
Min -7℃ 20°F

20cm 8in New Snow

Snow Line from 1,963m 6,440ft to resort level ( 1,625m 5,331ft ).

Mount Ruapehu Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Mount Ruapehu from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Tue 11	Clear sky.	Max 5℃ 42°F Min -1℃ 29°F
Wed 12	Cloudy.	Max 3℃ 38°F Min -2℃ 29°F
Thu 13	1cm to 3cm up to 1in New Snow Snow showers at altitude, rain showers below. Snow Line from 1,963m 6,440ft to resort level ( 1,625m 5,331ft ).	Max 5℃ 40°F Min 0℃ 32°F
Fri 14	Cloudy.	Max 8℃ 46°F Min 0℃ 31°F
Sat 15	Rain showers.	Max 7℃ 45°F Min 1℃ 34°F
Sun 16	15cm 6in New Snow Snow showers. Snow Line from 1,656m 5,433ft to resort level ( 1,625m 5,331ft ).	Max 2℃ 35°F Min -6℃ 20°F
Mon 17	1cm New Snow Light snow. Snow falling to resort level ( 1,625m 5,331ft ).	Max -4℃ 24°F Min -7℃ 20°F

This Snow Forecast for Mount Ruapehu, New Zealand gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Mount Ruapehu, on any given piste or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Mount Ruapehu Snow Forecast updated at 20:40 BST, next update expected imminently.

Ensemble forecast for Mount Ruapehu, New Zealand at 1,625m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Forecast near Mount Ruapehu

Snow Forecasts for Ski Resorts near Mount Ruapehu
Ski Area	48 Hr	7 Day	Tu	We	Th	Fr	Sa	Su	Mo
Whakapapa	4cm 2in	18cm 7in

Snow Reliability

Mount Ruapehu generally enjoys reliable snow conditions, with average snow depths ranging from 1 to 2 meters during the season. For the latest snow information, be sure to check J2Ski for updates.

Off-Piste Safety in Mount Ruapehu

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Mount Ruapehu, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.